Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Draft: Should They "Fail for Nail"?

March 17th, 2012 by Mike Burse Leave a reply »
At this time, after 71 games played, the Leafs have a record of 31 wins, 32 losses and 8 overtime losses for 70 points on the season. This has them sitting at 24th overall in the standings, giving them the seventh overall pick in the NHL entry draft this season.

This late-season collapse has some Leaf fans preaching a "Fail for Nail" philosophy. If anyone thinks Brian Burke or Randy Carlyle will purposely not ice the lineup with the best chance to win every night, you really need to look in the mirror.

Realistically, the Leafs are not likely to drop below the Edmonton Oilers (63 points in 71 games) and the Columbus Blue Jackets (51 points in 70 games). In order to have a chance at the first overall pick, the Leafs would have to finish in the bottom five of the league.

According to, the percentage chance of landing the first overall pick in the lottery are: 26th overall (8.1 percent), 27th overall (10.7 percent), 28th overall (14.2 percent), 29th overall (18.8 percent) and 30th overall (48.2 percent).

Could the Leafs potentially get the first overall pick in the draft lottery? Yes, but can you really sell an 8.1, 10.7 or ...

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