To Draft Or Not To Draft: Phil Kessel vs. Every #2 Pick Since 1990

June 26th, 2010 by Jeff Wahl Leave a reply »
Much has been made of Toronto GM Brian Burke's decision to trade a package of picks to Boston for winger Phil Kessel. One of those picks ended up as the second overall selection. The Leaf-haters have thus been participating in a ridiculing feeding frenzy at the expense of the blue and white. But what is that pick really worth? Now that the first round is over and Tyler Seguin is a Boston Bruin, it's time to take a look at what the value of a second overall selection actually is. First, allow me to say that I wish no ill will to Seguin and I truly hope he has a brilliant career. However, his success will be measured against that of Phil Kessel for his entire career. Good luck, kid. The following slides are designed to measure the success of every second overall selection since 1990 to determine if they became, or could become, a better pro than Phil Kessel. Although I'll look at stats, I won't use hard numbers as that is a poor measuring stick. However, I'll look at rough averages as well as things like how quickly they made it to the show, how good they were early in their career, did they reach their potential, did their careers have any longevity (for the earlier pi ...

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