Post to Post: Detroit Red Wings’ Playoff Streak Will End Without Pavel Datsyuk

January 3rd, 2017 by Jonathan Willis Leave a reply »

It isn’t news that the Detroit Red Wings are a struggling hockey club.

The 24th-ranked team in the NHL may be even worse than the standings indicate. Since opening the year 6-2-0, the Red Wings have lost nearly twice as many games as they’ve won, and even that undersells matters.

Detroit is 3-14-13 through regulation over its last 30 contests, and while the good news is that the team is keeping scores close, the bad news is that if it weren’t for three-on-three overtime/shootout, things would be even bleaker.

What might be a little more newsworthy is the fact that, despite the team’s streak of 25 straight playoff appearances, the Red Wings have actually been bad for a while now. The key difference is that Detroit used to be a deteriorating team that still had Pavel Datsyuk. Now it doesn’t.

The chart above shows the team’s hourly five-on-five performance in two key metrics with and without Datsyuk on the ice. The first stat is Fenwick differential—the team’s total hourly average of five-on-five shots and missed shots minus the same against.  

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