Every NHL Team’s Biggest Draft Steal and Bust

June 16th, 2016 by Carol Schram Leave a reply »
The 2016 NHL draft is just around the corner. The first round will take place amid much fanfare on Friday, June 24, while Rounds 2-7 will progress much more quickly on June 25. The two-day event will take place at the First Niagara Center in Buffalo, New York.

During this run-up, it's easy to get fixated on lists, rankings and projections, but players who are drafted next week have a long way to go before they make or break their NHL careers.

Travis Yost did some good statistical analysis of the value of draft picks for TSN back in 2015. Roughly speaking, there's about an 80 percent chance a first-round pick will develop into at least a low-level NHL player, a 44 percent chance for a second-rounder, a 30 percent chance for a third-rounder and so on.

In this piece, we're looking at the outliers—the first-rounders who didn't do enough to make a name for themselves at the NHL level and the lower-round picks who dramatically exceeded the normal expectations that accompany their draft position.

To keep the playing field level, the cutoff for this piece is the year 2000, when the Columbus Blue Jackets and Minnesota Wild joined the lea ...

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