Doc Halladay’s Perfecto and Related Musings

May 30th, 2010 by Tom Dubberke Leave a reply »
As I’m sure you’ve heard, Roy Halladay threw the season’s second perfect game and third no-hitter of the season against the Marlins yesterday.

It’s certainly no surprise that if any pitcher in baseball were to throw a perfect game, Roy Halladay would have to be right at the top of the list in terms of the probabilities.  Halladay matches tremendous stuff with tremendous control, both of which are key factors in the likelihood of throwing a perfect game.

Of course, the biggest factor is just dumb luck — a day when the pitcher is making his pitches and the hitters are hitting the ball at the defense.

The first thought that comes into mind when you have two perfect games in the same month, and three no-hitters in the first two months of a season, is whether it is getting relatively easier to throw perfect games or no-hitters in today’s game.  I’d need to run a more thorough statistical survey, but I really doubt it.

In fact, two perfect games have been thrown in the same month before.  All the way back in 1880, Lee Richmond pitched a perfect game on June 12, leading the Worchester ...

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