What If Each NBA Team Could Re-Do One Draft Pick from Past Decade?

July 24th, 2012 by Adam Fromal Leave a reply »
The NBA draft is always a crapshoot at best, as teams attempt to guess which players will go on to be stars, and then hope they'll get lucky enough to find a diamond in the rough. 

As a result, tons of poor picks are made every year. So what if each team could re-do a first-round pick and select someone else? 

Im not worried about who the team would select instead, just which picks they would want back. 

To avoid subjectivity, I'm using a formula that I developed in the past to evaluate draft picks. You can find the full explanation here. 

First of all, what exactly can teams count on when they make a draft pick? Well, unless a team releases or trades a player, they are under the team's control after the draft for up to four years, the maximum length of a rookie contract. So really, when looking at draft steals, we should focus almost exclusively on the first four years of a player's career. 

As a result, I looked at the first four years of Win Shares data for a player, as provided by basketball-reference.com. Win Shares are an advanced basketball metric calculated so that one Win Share is exactly equ ...

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