The Numbers Game: Where Would Golden State Warriors Be Without Steph Curry?

December 14th, 2015 by Adam Fromal Leave a reply »

Despite the Milwaukee Bucks putting the first blemish on their record, the Golden State Warriors are still the NBA's best team, and Stephen Curry continues to be the biggest catalyst behind their historic levels of success.

One year after adding an MVP trophy to his resume, he's the prohibitive favorite to go back-to-back. Basketball-Reference.com's MVP Award Tracker even shows the floor general has an 86.8 percent chance of earning the NBA's top individual honor during the 2015-16 season, based on historical factors and previous voting results.  

But what if Curry didn't exist? How far down the league's hierarchy would the Warriors drop? 

 

On/Off Analysis 

The easiest way to account for Curry's impact on the Warriors is to look at his on/off splits during the 2015-16 campaign. Though there's a lack of context—this doesn't factor in the effects of teammates—it does show the substantial drop-off when the MVP candidate takes a seat.

With Curry, Golden State is unstoppable. Without him, the team falls apart on both ends of the floor. 

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