NBA Draft Lottery: A Breakdown of Each Team’s Odds

May 14th, 2010 by Bryan Toporek Leave a reply »
With the NBA draft lottery coming up on Tuesday, May 18, there's no better time to take a peek at every lottery team's odds at landing the No. 1 pick—perhaps better known as the "John Wall Special." As a quick refresher: The NBA draft lottery gives the best odds to the teams who finished with the worst regular-season records. The worst team (the Nets, in this case) enters the lottery with a 25 percent chance to win. The NBA places 14 ping pong balls numbered 1 through 14 into their lottery machine, and draws four numbers at random (order of the numbers drawn doesn't matter). Before doing so, they randomly assign 1,000 combinations of those four numbers to the 14 teams, dividing the combinations in proportion to the teams' records. The NBA officials draw two more four-ball combinations for the No. 2 and No. 3 picks, and the remaining teams are slotted 4-14 in reverse order based on their records. Despite having the best chances to win, when you think about it, the Nets really only have a 1-in-4 shot of landing John Wall this year. The last two teams with the worst records that landed the No.1 picks were the Cavaliers and the Magic in 2003 and 2004 (netting them LeBro ...

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