Heat vs. Jazz: Facing the Music Will Be a Tough Task

December 8th, 2010 by Reservoir God Leave a reply »
I caught a lot of flak on Bleacher Report for the article I wrote before the last game between the Utah Jazz and Miami Heat (see HERE and HERE), so I had to write a preview for the rematch. In my last article, I basically said it would take a miracle for the Jazz to beat the Heat in Miami and, unfortunately, Paul Millsap provided one.

The Jazz entered that game 3-3 and the Heat were 5-2. The Jazz have gone 13-3 since the Musical Miracle by Biscayne Bay while the Heat have only gone 9-6 and the rematch will be played in Utah instead of Miami. So, what are the odds the Heat will get some revenge tonight?

Basketball-reference.com gives Miami a 52 percent chance of avenging last month's miracle. Based on a formula for determining a team's probability of winning a single game based on each player's Wins Produced, the Heat have a 42.4 percent chance of beating the Jazz.

Here's a breakdown of the numbers used to determine the Heat's probability of winning:

Miami Heat (14-8) Average Wins Produced Per 48 Minutes: 0.147 (see the Heat Produced page) Average Possessions Per Game: 90.8 (see basketball-reference.com) Days Rest: On ...

Read Full Article at Bleacher Report - NBA
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