Diagnosing Houston Rockets’ Shockingly Dreadful Start to 2015-16 NBA Season

November 3rd, 2015 by Jonathan Feigen Leave a reply »

The Houston Rockets did not have to turn to their celebrated math club of a front office. The analytics needed were simple arithmetic.

The Rockets lost their first game to the Denver Nuggets by 20 points and promised not to panic. As Pat Beverley pointed out, there were still 81 regular-season games to play.

They lost by 20 to the Golden State Warriors and Ty Lawson cited the 80 games remaining to get things right.

They lost by 20 in Miami to the Heat. James Harden said his confidence would not be shaken, not with 79 games left.

Finally, after becoming the first team to ever begin a season with three-consecutive 20-point losses, the Rockets surged to their first win, rallying from a 15-point second-half deficit to knock off the previously-unbeaten Oklahoma City Thunder and record their first win of the season.

They no longer had to make an argument that they had time after so much had gone so wrong to make things right.

Harden, however, cited a different number, making a case as indisputable as when the Rockets had been arguing for patience.

“It’s basically only o ...

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