Why Has Analytics Darling Alexander Semin Flunked out of the NHL?

December 10th, 2015 by Jonathan Willis Leave a reply »

After 650 games in the best hockey league in the world, it appears that Alexander Semin is done. On Wednesday, the Montreal Canadiens placed him on unconditional waivers with the obvious purpose of terminating his contract.

ESPN’s Pierre LeBrun reported that Semin’s representatives have already reached out to teams out to teams in other leagues:



In all likelihood, this marks the end of the 31-year-old’s major league career. At his best, he was a nearly irresistible offensive force. In his early 20s, he scored 30-plus goals and recorded 70-plus points three times over the span of four seasons with the Washington Capitals. Even after that peak, he was still a productive offensive player; as recently as 2013-14, he put up 22 goals and 42 points in just over 60 games.

That doesn’t sound like much, but less than 100 players scored 20 goals that year. With offence dwindling around the NHL, even a consistent 20-goal man is a valuable commodity. By the summer of 2014, Semin had managed to score 20-plus goals in seven of the previous eight seasons, with only the lockout-shortened 2012-13 campaig ...

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