Toronto Maple Leafs Need 88 Points to Make Playoffs

March 4th, 2012 by Jamie Thain Leave a reply »
Each year the actual number of points needed to make the playoffs is slightly different. It depends on the distribution of wins and losses. In 2009-10 where the overall spread between top and bottom was closer, the number of points needed to make the playoffs was 88 points. 

Through mathematical wizardry and a fancy spread sheet it is easy to calculate what the number required to make the playoffs if the distribution stays as it is today. That number is like in 2010: 88 points. 

The Leafs, with 67 points and 17 games remaining, need 21 points to contend for the playoffs. That means they need to play .624 hockey down the stretch. 

In the last month with the boys in blue looking more like the local Girl Scout troop winning just one in 10, it almost seems impossible to make a true run. 

Some years teams need 92 or 93 points to make the playoffs, and the spread between the worse teams and the best teams is wider and more overtime wins occur making the overall distribution higher. Now, the overall distribution could change between now and the end of the season, but currently with 80 percent of the games played the ...

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